Forgive me for the suggestive nature of the title of this post. It's a play on the song which I've become a huge fan of ...if you haven't heard the song you should go here and listen to it.
I was recently reminded of the time (1996) when Ted DIntersmith of Charles River Ventures came to our offices at abuzz and expressed interest in what we were doing. I was SO excited -- it was exciting to have someone acknowledge what we were doing with the potenital of investing a few million dollars to make our dream real. Well, when he came to our offices on Galen St. in Watertown, MA I think I jizzed my professional pants. I smile just thinking about that time. I never did a deal with CRV -- Ted was just doing his job and checking out "neat"technology companies in the Boston area. I share this story because entrepreneurs shouldn't get too excited when a VC calls on them - don't jizz your pants - there can be lots of reasons for the call....and a vc call doesn't make a deal or a company. That said, it's natural to be excited -- and by all means take the call and see where it leads.
Ask dumb questions....remind yourself of important answers
I recently was talking to a friend of mine about Cooler Planet and he asked me some very simple questions about the business like:
- Who is your customer?
- What's their buying process like?
- What's the market size and your market penetration?
- What's your renewal rate?
The questions were simple and the answers -- and the conversation with him reminded me of the core components of this business. Very, very useful exercise to do for each one of our companies! If you (or someone you know) asks simple questions, the answers may surprise you and result in re-thinking priorities.
One of the things that became particularly obvious was that it had been some time since we had looked and analyzed our own business data. My friend reminded me that this data often is easily obtained and is critical in terms of driving decision making. I know this -- it's like business 101 -- but it took his dumb questions to remind me! Maybe they weren't such dumb questions!
Leadership and experience win more in this market
Given the downturn in the economy, experience and leadership win more. Given that every company I know is tightening their belt and trying to do the same with less -- experience in prioritization and in belt tightening is more important than in growing markets. The danger of entrepreneurial missteps is higher in this market because there is less financial cushion available (i.e. next rounds are harder to come by).
What's the deal with NDA's?
I've had three entrepreneurs ask me to sign NDA's recently. As an entrepreneur, everyone knows that NDAs really aren't worth the paper they're printed on. I occasionally used them with big companies, as a means of communicating to the big company that I cared about the value of our intellectual property. But, they generally just slowed things down and became an item that future acquirers asked about why I was inconsistent in the use of them. So, I stopped using them. Now, as an investor, entrepreneurs should know that most knowledgeable investors won't sign NDAs. As an investor, I see lots of deals -- some of which are similar to others and I don't want to have an entrepreneur :
- Feel like they gave me an idea that is theirs and to have a piece of paper that leads to some legal letter. That's lots of unnecesary brain damage for me.
- Angst about their intellectual property so much that they won't talk about it without legal paperwork.
- Believe their intellectual property is so unique that they're afraid to talk about it. I think ideas are only good when feedback is provided and the whole NDA process seems to limit the entrepreneur's ability to get lots of feedback
Seattle tech news gap has been filled
In the last year, the introduction of three distinct worthy sources have filled my regular reading on seattle's tech news. I think that TechFlash, Seattle2.0, and xconomy have worked in their own way to fill a void that existed a year ago that doesn't exist today. Nice job guys!
Pigs get slaughtered: take the money when it's offered
Knowing when to sell and at what price is one of those questions that doesn't get talked about very much. In the game of business, success is measured by dollars. It makes sense that people are motivated by selfishness and "greed" and the general desire to improve one's financial standing. This isn't a bad thing -- it's what capitalism is based upon. The danger for an entrepreneur comes when it comes time to sell part or all of their company. The danger comes when an entrepreneur tries to over-optimize the value of its asset and thereby doesn't take a critical offer of money when it's offered. In my mind, Friendster is the poster child of pigs getting slaughtered. This company had the opportunity to sell for 30MM in pre-IPO stock to Google but turned down the offer. I bet the entrepreneur regrets that decision!
Recently, I've seen a case of an entrepreneur doing a great job tkaing the money to grow his business (I can't talk about the fiancing publicly because it's not announced yet). The entrepreneur realized in the rpocess of fund raising that they had probably under-priced the round by 20% but rather than go back and redraw the deal and screw it all up, he opted to plow ahead an dnow has the necessary (critical) cash to grow the business. And I have another friend who is selling his business for a price he knows isn't the best, but it will give him a really valuable win at a critical time in the market. Remember when the deal comes, the bird in hand is really valuable ....and pigs get slaughtered.
Learning to walk: Spend time on deals with high likelihood to close
As an entrepreneur -- and now as an investor, I've been reminded lately about filtering one's deals with a heavy emphasis on likelihood to close. Why? We all have big deals that might move our company and fund(s) into the neon lights of prime time -- but I've learned that sometimes taking a bunch of baby steps helps build momentum to actually being able to walk toward the big deals. If you start out to walk right away, the likelihood that you'll fall or take longer to learn to walk is higher. In other words, focusing on likelihood to close as an important screening mechanism prevents you from wasting time and ensures that you're moving forward even if it's not as fast you'd like (it never is - is it? )
Insane airfare on Virgin America
You can buy flights from SEA to SFO for $39 if you're booking two weeks in advance and can fly on Tuesdays. And there's wifi on the plane. That's awesome and deserves some blog love!
Liar's loans 101
If you want to get a glimpse of the current housing crisis -- watch this 9 min video interview done by Bill Moyers. It's worth watching. It'll make you think :
- about our current situation
- about our legal, accounting, and management infrastructure
- about our future
WTF?!?!
Start-up shout out: All Advertising Agencies
A friend of mine -- Steve Hirsch -- started a new company called All Advertising Agencies . It's an interesting start-up with a good deal of potential. If you're looking for an agency of any kind -- check it out.
Funny Passover on Facebook link
Check this out
Value of vision is enormous
To simplify things, there's two parts to making a business -- or more accurately two sides to the same "business" coin. One part is vision and the other part is execution. You need both. At times in my career, I've been struck by the value and beauty of one side over the other. Today, I'm marveling at the value of vision. The value of knowing where you want to take a company is critical. It's particularly critical in early stage companies where one misstep can kill a company. At each of the Founder's co-op companies, we're going through a process of reviewing our 2009 operating plans and adjusting when necessary. Figuring out what direction to go -- how to grow -- is not easy. In the land of limitless possibilities (theoretically speaking) and very limited cash -- choosing a good direction is not easy and choosing a great direction is really hard. Ultimately, the CEO needs to take all the inputs of the market into their brain and spit out a direction gut choice -- and then go execute on it. One note I might add to this is that the amount of cash actually makes the need for vision greater. The fact that each of our companies is cash constrained limits the degrees of freedom and has the company focus on what can increase short term cash flow while advancing the business.
The dinner after the meeting is the meeting
Last night, we had a founder's co-op LP meeting. The meeting itself was good. There's been good progress in the portfolio. After the meeting, about half of the LPs went out to dinner and that's where the real meeting occurred. It's amazing what a little food and wine does for conversation both personal and business. I encourage everyone to let informal conversation take place over dinner -- they're highly productive meetings.
Revenue is the only milestone that counts now
It used to be that release of beta, hire of a VP, or first 100K eyeballs were milestones in the life of a high tech company and in the eye of investors. They showed progress. Today -- these events are just that events. They are not events on the way to revenues. Revenues show progress -- and if you want to be more specific, revenues are milestones on the way to cash flows and profits.
John Stewart v Jim Cramer is so worth watching
This interview made me so impressed with John Stewart. I was mildly impressed that Jim Cramer didn't get totally defensive and seemed to handle the interveiw better than most.
If you haven't seen the John Stewart v. Jim Cramer video -- it's a must see. Here's a little vintage Stewart here (the full episode -- must watch!! The first 5 to 7 minutes are a bit boring but it's worth waiting for the full interveiw ) here, and here -- it's so worth watching!!
Comments from the "get fucking aggressive" post
I got a number of comments from entrepreneurs about the last post. Here are 2 of them:
- In my previous job (management consulting) I thought I knew aggressive. I was wrong! Now I’m starting to get it. And I’m starting to get how critical it is. That advice has really stuck with me – very simple but powerful. Thanks again. Hope to see you soon.
- good story andy - i relate to what you wrote, which i could not agree with more, to what you told me on the phone when we first met - about how you felt judy's book could have been less ivory tower and more aggressive in it's approach to end-user adoptio.
What does "get fucking aggressive" mean?
I saw an entrepreneur that i had met a year ago for coffee this morning. My advice last year was to get "fucking aggressive" about customer acquisition. He was a nice young guy fresh out of business school. When I gave him the advice -- I recall he looked at me funny. Either because I swore or because I looked funny.
Well, I saw him this morning and he came up to me and said -- "now I know what you mean by "get fucking aggressive"". The tone of his comment revealed that he understood what I had said a year earlier. He's been working hard now for a year and "groks it". He understands that things don't happen just because you think they should. Inertia in the business world is very powerful and being an entrepreneur takes hard work....ferocity and sometimes being fucking aggressive (about customer acquisition-- one of my favorite focal points of advice).
I smiled and we laughed.
Aggressive steps for dealing with financial distress
I was speaking with a friend of mine this weekend. His situation is as follows:
- He runs a business that a year ago was doing 3MM in revenue with almost 500K in ebida. The business was growing 15+% per year.
- He bought a big commercial building for 4MM and has 2.5MM in debt on the building.
In the last six months:
- His business has been cut in half and ebida has been cut more than 50%.
- He hasn't been able to rent the commercial building and is using (more) debt to keep current on payments for the building
- Each month that goes by, he is risking bankruptcy (of one form or another).
My advice to him was as follows:
- Meet with 3 people whom you respect and present your business plan for dealing with your personal financial crisis
- After you get feedback, devise a plan and be aggressive in attempting to renegotiate debt with all lenders.
- Sitting back and waiting for solutions to appear is not a good strategy ....(Nor is waiting for a tenant to rent the space)
Sound familiar to anyone you know?
My new rule of thumb for entrepreneurs: Divide by 3
If a year ago, an entrepreneur was hoping to raise 3 million at a 6MM pre-money valuation. Today, that very same entrepreneur should divide by 3 on both the money raised and the valuation. That same deal would be a 1MM raise at a 2MM pre-money valuation -- as a starting point. This rule of thumb seems to be applying to our Founder's Co-op portfolio. One of our companies is raising 300K at 1MM pre-money: this same deal a year ago would have been a 1MM raise at 3MM pre money. This rule of thumb applies to money raised and valuation.
The world has also changed for two other important terms:
- liquidation preference is often 1 times with no cap.
- ratchet: in the event the company doesn't make progress there is often a full ratchet for future downside financings.
Interesting factoid
This is from a French newspaper, of all places: Goldman Sachs paid $600,000 in cancellation fees to move the event from Las Vegas to San Francisco.